Chris Scott,
My pdf version on the BEA Second Interim report only goes to p. 72, so I can't speak to the reference you cite.
The latitude and longitude coordinates for the sightings and recoveries are from Table 1 of the
"BUREAU D’ENQUETES ET D’ANALYSES POUR LA SECURITE DE L’AVIATION CIVILE
Scientific Report from the Drift Group"
Published on June 30 2010
This is Table 1 in non-tabular format
Ursulla sighting U June 5 2009 at 16h10 3.63N 30.45W
Brazilian sighting 1 S1 June 5 2009 at 21h02 3.56N 30.44W
3m part sighting 2 S2 June 6 2009 at 10h59 3.47N 30.47W
Galley G213 (sighted)G2 June 6 2009 at 11h06 3.47N 30.66W
First two bodies BB June 6 2009 at 11h55 3.57N 30.46W
Galley G2 (recover.) June 6 2009 at 15h00 3.47N 30.66W
Case June 6 2009 at 16h10 3.46N 30.63W
Body E1 (sighted) E1 June 7 2009 at 9h11 3.65N 30.51W
Vertical fin(sighted) VTP June 7 2009 at 13h38 3.61N 30.62W
Body 2Z (recover.) June 7 2009 at 16h39 3.70N 30.50W
Body 3Z (recover.) 3Z June 7 2009 at 17h17 3.73N 30.48W
Body 6Z (recover.) June 7 2009 at 17h29 3.74N 30.48W
Body 4Z (recover.) June 7 2009 at 17h41 3.75N 30.47W
Vertical fin(recover.) June 7 2009 at 18h35 3.47N 30.68W
Body 5Z (recover.) June 7 2009 at 18h55 3.73N 30.47W
Body 7Z (recover.) June 7 2009 at 20h35 3.75N 30.47W
Body 8Z (recover.) June 8 2009 at 16h58 4.04N 30.46W
Body 9Z (recover.) June 8 2009 at 17h25 4.03N 30.45W
Body 10Z (recover.) June 8 2009 at 17h50 4.06N 30.44W
Body (recover.) June 8 2009 at 18h34 4.06N 30.43W
Body (recover.) June 8 2009 at 19h25 4.08N 30.43W
Body (recover.) June 8 2009 at 19h56 4.09N 30.43W
Body 11Z (recover.) June 9 2009 at 9h45 4.25N 30.44W
Body 12Z (recover.) June 9 2009 at 10h16 4.25N 30.43W
Body 13Z (recover.) June 9 2009 at 11h02 4.25N 30.41W
Body 14Z (recover.) June 9 2009 at 12h29 4.27N 30.42W
Body 15Z (recover.) June 9 2009 at 12h56 4.27N 30.43W
Body 16Z (recover.) June 9 2009 at 13h29 4.31N 30.45W
Body 17Z (recover.) June 9 2009 at 14h21 4.31N 30.51W
Body 18Z (recover.) June 9 2009 at 15h45 4.35N 30.52W
Body 19Z (recover.) June 9 2009 at 15h45 4.35N 30.52W
Body 20Z (recover.) June 9 2009 at 16h24 4.41N 30.52
13 Not fully confirmed
Of the seven models the drift group used, here is the estimated crash position for each model:
Table 2 Mean crash positions and estimated standard deviations for
the seven models selected.
Lat Long Standard deviation Model
3.579 -30.869 48 ZOOM2
3.673 -30.675 48 ZOOM2+ Stokes
3.364 -30.911 35 FVCOM
3.372 -30.856 35 FVCOMW
3.554 -30.756 20 OI50
3.590 -30.537 20 OI85
3.393 -30.983 40 PSY2AVG data fitted
This is the detail on HYCOM.
This global 1/12° ocean forecasting system is run at NRL Stennis Space Center. It uses 32 vertical hybrid layers. Surface mixing is parameterized with Large et al.’s (1997) K Profile Parameterization (KPP) surface ocean boundary layer model. The surface is forced by 3-hourly wind stress, wind speed, heat flux (using bulk formula) and precipitation from the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS). Runoff from 986 rivers is included as a virtual salinity flux with no mass exchange.
The system assimilates (i) SSH from Envisat, Jason-1 and Jason-2 (ii) SST from all available satellite and in situ sources, (iii) all available in situ temperature and salinity profiles (e.g., Argo, CTDs, moor- ings), and (iv) Special Sensor Microwave/ Imager (SSMI) sea ice concentration. Assimilation is performed using the three-dimensional MultiVariate Optimum Interpolation (MVOI) Navy Coupled Ocean Data Assimilation (NCODA) system (Cummings, 2005). In this scheme, corrections to the model state are obtained by linear combinations of model-observation differences. The MVOI analysis is carried out on 42 z-levels extending from the surface down to 2500 m. The model forecast is interpolated to z-levels before the analysis and the analyzed increments are added to the forecast and interpolated back to the model's hybrid vertical coordinate.
NRL is Naval Research Lab @ Stennis. Its responsibilities are to function as the major center for in-house Navy research and development in oceanography, marine geology, geophysics, geoacoustics, and geotechnology. It is also the Navy’s lead activity for mapping, charting, and geodesy research and development.