PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - AF 447 Search to resume
View Single Post
Old 21st Apr 2011, 11:41
  #3738 (permalink)  
SaturnV
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: us
Posts: 694
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Chris, thanks for correcting my non-use of the silent K in the acronym.

The positions are from Table 1 of the Drift Analysis report. The only position observation in that table which is qualified is that for "Galley G2" sighting on June 6. (The qualification probably stems from the sighting and recovery coordinates being identical, even though the two events are four hours apart.)

In re-looking at the Drift Analysis report, the only model of the eight used that came close to an impact near the LKP was the U.S. Navy's HYCOM model, and regarding its results:

This [HYCOM] model gives a crash point near 3°15’N 30°30’W, and has been discarded from our analysis, on the basis that the velocity field is not realistic enough and the backtracked debris were scattered over 93 km (Figure 37). However the Ursulla sighting is backtracked not far from our 95% confidence area.
The 95% confidence area had a lower bound roughly at 3°20’N at 30°30’W

The Ursulla object sighting was one of six objects for which trajectories were calculated backwards in time in each of the models. Interesting that the VS was not one of the six reference objects.
SaturnV is offline