PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - jet/bird evasive action
View Single Post
Old 6th Mar 2011, 00:16
  #69 (permalink)  
lomapaseo
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Florida
Posts: 4,569
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
How long do you want to keep rolling the dice........
frankly .... forever

The world is imperfect, always was and always will be.

Rolling dice is just one of the imputs that we use in a monte carlo stastical system to prioritize what we work on. Of course such a system needs data but nobody intends to wait and count enough tombstones. Thus the pointer data is at a level of risk where no lives are lost since critical factors being missing or something worked as planned (pilot training etc.)

The regulations need to keep up with measured changes either via mother nature, operation or product capability. Since the data to support such changes as well as expert manpower is available these regulatory changes will keep on being updated every 5 years until /unless ignored shortfalls in other areas capture the attention of the I told you sos.

I sense that the work on the engine side of the regulatory function will soon make it more likiely that multiple bird strikes on the aircraft as well will combine with the engine side of the systems and result in accidents. There is already data available in this arena.
lomapaseo is offline