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Old 28th Feb 2011, 23:35
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TEEEJ
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
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Trim Stab,

Have you not been watching the news? It doesn't make any difference if it is minor misuse - it is still misuse. Note that in my post it stated opposition. That opposition is made up of defecting Libyan forces personnel and civilians.

The point is that the majority of the International Community think that Gadaffi's position is untenable and that to prevent further blood shed he should go. The whole point of the NFZ would be to take away his capability to inflict mass casualties and make it clear that his regime is over. Even discussion and threat of military action could possibly influence Gadaffi to realise that the game is up? No doubt the pressure of military action is also being put on Gadaffi via the remaining diplomatic channels.

The situation is confused at the moment due to the ongoing evacuation of foreign nationals. Any direct military action or enforcement at this time is risky until the evacuation process is complete. With the evacuation of foreign nationals complete the easiest option, even by a Coalition of the willing, is to take Gadaffi's toys away from him. It wouldn't take much to JDAM/Paveway loyalist airfields and plink the remaining air force inventory.

Once the evacuation of foreign nationals is complete I can see things developing. Gaddafi has been on TV interview last night ranting about Al Qaeda being the opposition. In order to prevent Gadaffi from taking a last stand I can see a Coalition involved in taking his air force out with Loyalist runways destroyed and aircraft plinked. It is a lot easier than simply establishing a No Fly Zone on its own.

The WMD issue appears to be clear. After seeing what was about to happen to Saddam, Gadaffi back in 2003 came clean to the west about its WMD programme. Inspectors were allowed in and destruction was implemented by UN inspectors during 2004.

IAEA Praises Libya for Disarmament Efforts | Arms Control Association

At the same time, international efforts to dismantle Libya’s chemical weapons program are progressing. On March 19, inspectors from the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW)—the organization that verifies compliance with the Chemical Weapons Convention—verified Tripoli’s March 5 initial chemical weapons declaration. According to the OPCW, Libya declared “approximately 23 metric tonnes of mustard gas, 1,300 metric tonnes of precursor chemicals, …[an] inactivated chemical weapons production facility, …[and] two chemical weapons storage facilities.”

Between Feb. 27 and March 3, the OPCW also “verified… the complete destruction” of more than 3,500 unfilled bombs “designed to disperse chemical warfare agent,” according to organization press releases. The OPCW stated March 22 that it intends to verify Libya’s destruction of the remaining chemical agents.


IAEA Inspections in Libya Making Progress

BBC NEWS | Africa | 'No reward' for non-nuclear Libya


TJ

Last edited by TEEEJ; 1st Mar 2011 at 02:10.
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