HN39;
Your excellent
LF + AOA + Gust Velocity graph has got me thinking about the potential density/temperature of the contents of a rapidy rising Cb cell. I included the hypothetical figure of 4,000 ft/min (67fps) in my previous post, knowing that there is evidence that this rate can even be exceeded. Add in the "brick-wall effect" of the different air-mass and there is something worth considering. Is there not?
I am of the opinion (right or wrong) that evidence of a highly convective air-mass in the ITCZ, during the period in question, can't be completely ruled out. Satellite imagery for 0215z was actually scanned at 0208z over the area we are looking at, and the likelihood of a Cb burst can't be totally dismissed.