Speaking of the RE fleet, looks like most of them are destined for new [SEN] base now?
IMHO, if they get it right with the Aer Lingus Regional operations they could recover the revenue in 2 years
I strongly suspect that there may be more flying to come under the EI Regional Franchise contract.
(1) There have been rumours going around for a while that they may be sniffing after DUB-LCY which would probably lock up a whole ATR-72
(2) It would also not surprise me if you find that EI "mainline" end up dumping their 3 per day DUB-BHX in favour of an EI "Regional" 5 per day ATR72 operation.
If you then calculate the number of airframes that Arann might have that no longer have PSO operations attached to them from July, and factor in the two possible above operations from DUB, what does that actually leave you in terms of aircraft for a SEN operation? I assume that whilst NOC-DUB, SXL-DUB, LDY-DUB etc would probably end, there is a fighting chance that Arann might remain on GWY-DUB?