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Old 9th Jan 2011, 13:49
  #36 (permalink)  
falconeasydriver
 
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Heck,

the amount of rhetoric speculation and ill informed gut feeling on here is breathtaking
SN3, its an open secret that the Mullahs and their minions have for years sought to undermine the Sunni in Iraq, Afghan, as well as a few more places within the region. Its a stated foreign policy aim of dinner jacket to increase Iran's influence in the region such that they are able to usurp the Saudi/US relationship, and hence become the regional superpower.
The continued antagonizing of Israel plays well at home in Iran, but counts for little other than serving to remind everyone how Israel (with the help of the US) would wipe the floor with Iran should they seriously want to step out of the box.
Iranian regime is playing the long game in its quest to become a nuclear power...it also is currently in a win win situation with the Arab street. Simply put, if someone intervenes militarily...Iran cries foul..zionists..the great Satan etc etc and gains further propaganda points or, it continues to rattle its sabre (which in my considered opinion is its plan A, B, C and D) so that it keeps the pressure up, all without having to do a great deal of anything other than working quietly away at developing fissile material.
Put all this into the big picture..and 2 things become clear...Iran will not be attacked in any significant sense in the foreseeable future as doing so overtly would be counterproductive, secondly, a policy of covert containment will continue with most of the moderate Gulf and Mideast states being involved (the US will be the proxy of the Israeli's so that the US can maintain sensible relations with other gulf partners...the UAE included)
Finally I would suggest that it is unlikely at best that the UAE will be targeted militarily by Iran, but it is entirely possible that Iranian sponsored elements could seek to disrupt western interests.
Meanwhile business as usual will take place along Iran's borders, not also forgetting the very warm covert action that is taking place inside Iran as we speak.
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