Thanks, wobbly hand drawn so don't give too much weight to where the lines fall. Yes, I was thinking about that anticipation. I think the 737 FMC would anticipate the turn on the IAF, but would pass fly over the 11.4d point before turning. But if you don't anticipate then you fly through TGO and onto the other side which is what we have been saying one should avoid!
One is to make a left turn from the beginning of the inbound leg
I think you may intercept 254º later than desirable (in reality, at 230kts the hold would be much bigger than drawn), IMHO best keep the right turn going until a suitable track for intercept of the initial has been attained.