Tokyo Geoff
Perhaps Two hundred and one. Everything about this accident is speculation thus far.
There are missing pieces from any and all "conclusions". Not even the first report made conclusions, only informed speculation. So it remains.
Compared to established routine, some informed speculation has been offered. If the Fuselage impacted as BEA have said, the cockpit would have hit almost exclusively in the vertical, and the cockpit/nose area is reinforced beyond that of the "Tube". So right off a suggestion of pilots being trapped in situ. If the Captain was resuming his Left Seat, or walking forward from rest, he may have tumbled out the front shattered section of Fuse. There have been no reports of identifying injuries for those unseated. The only injuries referenced have been those concluded by BEA to have been of seated passengers.
Seats occupied have been noted on graphic, so one can unwind name/seat by manifest.
There is a strong possibility we have all the evidence we shall ever have. So, as you say, all will remain speculation. Let's simply hope the speculation will remain objective.
cheers,
bear