PN,
As I have said before, on this and other threads, nobody is going to be out very soon.
It will take Manning at least 6 months (in my option, and based on previous schemes) to staff the numbers required for redundancy, publish a scheme for RAF wide consumption, and allow time for people to apply. Volunteers will get 6 months notice (so that is at least 12 months from now), any compulsary redundancies will get 12 months notice (so that is at least 18 months from now).
Anyone with 3 years or less to do also certainly won't come into the equation, as they will be considered part of natural wasteage.
The issue with the guys at Kinloss is what the RAF does with them in the next 3-4 months, given that they could be out 15 months later..... Keeping them in place, at Kinloss, on gardening leave probably isn't an option - so where do they go? No doubt this is the "rustication" you are referring to...