FTDK,
I don't believe much of what the media says. No need to stress.
I do however, listen to what the BOM has to say (go and have a read of all their season forecasts). And I also know when you have sea surface temperatures well above average for this time of year, you're likelyhood of cyclones is higher, as well as their severity.
Not to mention, the year so far has been extremely wet. The tropics are moving into the wet season weather patterns earlier as well.
morno