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Old 9th Sep 2010, 08:59
  #420 (permalink)  
arcniz
 
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Bean-Counting solution for solving problem of forward viz in fire situation

Here's a napkin analysis for actually addressing this problem :
the numbers are approximate, but maybe not unreasonable vs actual:

(assumes various commercial products now available, including those discussed at the beginning of this thread)



Cockpit Smoke-Obscuration protection for the Entire Global Commercial Jet fleet:

Approximate number of turbine Air-Transport aircraft in use around the world : 10,000

Approximate est cost for installation/use life of inflatable smoke-through visibility package for panel and forward view windows :

New installations (in quantity) & 5 yrs support : US$ 25,000 /ac

Sustaining cost for existing installations - addnl 5-yr : US$ 12,000 /ac



So:

Cost for the first 5 years (50,000 aircraft-years) = $250 Million

Cost for each successive 5 years (50,000 aircraft-years) = $120 Million

10-yr cost for solving this problem for the entire global fleet = $370 Million

Nominal cost est for ONE aircraft lost - Passenger -Freight a/c median case = $400 Million


The numbers, even if you find a way to double the cost, are very persuasive. Surely some of those financial geniuses that can sell the same city block 5 or ten times over at half a billion $ a throw can help solve this well-bounded but very important problem? Sell bonds? Ticket Tax? Carriers pay? Crews pay out-of-pocket?? Which will it be?

Solvable problem - time to act appropriately.
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