In the many threads here on Ppprune on the subject of 'Defence Cuts'there has been a myriad of speculations and suggestions as to what can, will or should be done to reduce costs.
What I have seen little of is any sensible analysis of the threat over, say, the next 20 years.
I use 20 years as being what appears to be the procurement cycle and - possibly - the time required to generate lost force capability. In the latter case I am just guessing.
However, it is a truism that our defence capability needs to be sufficient to counter the threat.
So, what threats do we see out there over the next 20 or so years?
the sinews of war are infinite money
Cicero