you all may not like my analysis but how is ryanair going to make a significant profit in 2012 onwards?
What will the cost per pax be?
what will the income per pax be?
how many pax will they carry and at what load factor?
If you cannot do the analysis then it is you who are making the guessing.
You are not even making an attempt at analysis rather throwing a few quotes in and hoping nobody spots it.
FR currently running aircraft carrying approximately 300,000 passengers each per year which even at an average current fare of €39 plus €11 ancillary gives them every asset generating €15 million a year over a 6 year life span plus inflation thats €100 million. On an asset that costs €30M to buy, even adding in fuel, maintenance, staffing you would expect each aircraft to give you €15 Million net over a 6 year life span in profit and a hell of a lot of cash before selling it on for a tidy sum.
As for the idea that passengers are disappearing well far from it, the movement of aircraft across Europe has built in lots more routes and users and while UK and Ireland are in recession now they won't always be and will clearly desire more opportunities to travel again which just reopens more routes
Problem FR face in 2014 maybe that they haven't enough aircraft to sustain demand.