I too obviously have no idea whether MRA4 will survive or not. But Biggus' comment:
As we are as skint as a skint thing, are we really going to keep an RAF airfield open for 9 aircraft - when, for example we are basing 70 aircraft at Brize to save money.
Is spot on. But I'd be less surprised to see QRA to ISK / Lossie and Leuchars be closed.... after all, LEU has just had the runway redone....
S41