There is hardly any correlation between experience and ability...
Good training, and ability, yes... Good common sense, backed up with sound fundamental knowledge, yes... Especially, good line experience, backed up by good training, in a good environment, yes...
But Hans-Jurgen Merton is proof (if it were needed) that there is no link between experience and ability.
Was it Napoleon who wanted 'lucky' generals, not experienced ones? I believe it was.