A large degree of caution is urged in adopting photos, on scene interpretations, eye witness reports from aviation professionals and lastly DFDR raw data as conclusive affirmation that your pet theory about the chain of events is correct.
In an investigation like this many conflicts arise (nose down vs nose up impacts, etc.) that take time to sort out by matching sources of information with a degree of analysis (aircraft performance laws etc.)
The individual casual observers, like ourselves do not have the resources to resolve these conflicts, so while we may have experienced based opinions we have little credibility to conclude a chain beyond a single fact.