It has been difficult to picture this massive aircraft having directional and aerodynamic problems at 37k losing all its forward speed quickly,
Bearfoil, given the more likely locations of the wreckage it doesn't seem extremely likely the plane immediately shed all its forward speed at 37kFt.
In that case it should be much closer to the last known position assuming that things already went pear shaped while ACARS message were being transmitted
The 330 has massive mounts (six of them) rooted deep into the Tail/Fuselage, but they failed. It is difficult to picture a vertical impact simply causing the VS/Rudder to plow down into the Body, then symmetrically rebounding, having taken the fuselage pieces with it.
edit : /deleted see reason for editing
Still: A >40g vertical impact probably puts more load on the structure then aerodynamic forces at 270kts CAS with a RTL set at 7,9°