Ok, I have checked this a couple of times and it doesn't add up;
In the January preliminary traffic figures released by Qantas, the pax numbers given for JQ International was
358,000 pax carried at a load factor of 78.5%.
http://redirectingat.com/?id=42X4874...g-points-90%2F
At the bottom of the release was a paragraph that basically says that you only counted as a JQ Intl pax if they carried you either in or out of Australia, so JQ domestic feeders or QF codeshares should not count.
"The number of passengers carried is calculated on the basis of origin/destination (ie. one origin/destination journey represents one passenger regardless of the number of stage lengths undertaken)."
Below I have listed every scheduled JQ Intl flight that left or entered Australia in January. I took the maximum number of seats for the A320 and used the scheduled departures to arrive at a seats-per-week (spw) figure offered for each scheduled flight. i.e. Load factor 100%.
Even if a flight was actually cancelled during the month, it still appears here.
If you trust that I got them all and the arithmetic is close, feel free to skip past..
A321 SE Asia Flights Max 210 seats per A/C
DRWSIN JQ61 Daily/ 1470 spw
SINDRW JQ62 Daily/ 1470 spw
SINDRW JQ58 Daily/ 1470 spw
Total 4410 seats per week.
A320 SE Asia Flights All A320 flights use Max 177 seats.
DRWSGN JQ73 12.4.6./708 spw
DRWSIN JQ57 Daily /1239 spw
DRWDPS JQ81 Daily /1239 spw
PERCGK JQ114 1…5../ 354 spw
CGKSIN JQ114 1…5../ 354 spw
PERDPS JQ116 Daily /1239 spw
DPSSIN JQ116 1.3.56/ 708 spw
PERSIN JQ109 Daily /1239 spw
SGNDRW JQ74 12.4.6./708 spw
DPSDRW JQ82 Daily/ 1239 spw
CGKPERJQ115 …4..7 /354 spw
SINCGK JQ115 …4..7 /354 spw
DPSPER JQ117 1.3.56. /708 spw
DPSPER JQ113 .2.4..7/ 708 spw
SINDPS JQ117 1.3.56/ 708spw
SINPER JQ110 Daily/ 1239 spw
Total 13098 seats per week
A320 Tasman Flights
SYDCHC JQ143 Daily/ 1239 seats Per week
SYDCHC JQ151 ..3.5.7/531 spw
MELCHC JQ159 1..4.6./531 spw
MELCHC JQ171 12345.7/ 1062 spw
BNECHC JQ175 .23.5.7/708 spw
BNECHC JQ183 1..4.6/. 531 spw
OOLCHC JQ191 …..6./ 177 spw
OOLCHC JQ191 .2…../ 177spw
OOLAKL JQ239 Daily/ 1239 spw
SYDAKL JQ205 Daily/ 1239 spw
CHCSYD JQ140 Daily/ 1239 spw
CHCSYD JQ150 ..3.5.7/ 531 spw
CHCMEL JQ156 1..4.6./ 531 spw
CHCMEL JQ166 12345.7/ 1062 spw
CHCBNE JQ172 .23.5.7/708 spw
CHCBNE JQ182 1..4.6. / 531 spw
CHCOOL JQ190 …..6./177 spw
CHCOOL JQ190 .2…../177 spw
AKLOOL JQ238 Daily/ 1239 spw
AKLSYD JQ204 Daily/1239 spw
Total 14868 seats per week
A330 flights (303 seats per A/C)
SYDDPS JQ37 ..3.5/ 606 spw
MELDPS JQ35 .2…6./ 606 spw
MELBKK JQ29 .2.4..7/ 909 spw
SYDHKT JQ27 ..3…./ 303 spw
SYDHNL JQ3 12.4.6. / 1212/ spw
OOLKIX JQ19 Daily/ 2121 spw
CNSNRT JQ25 1..4567/ 1515 spw
CNSNRT JQ25 .23…./ 606 spw
OOLNRT JQ11 Daily /2121 spw
DPSSYD JQ38 1…..7/ 606 spw
DPSSYD JQ38 ..3.5../ 606 spw
DPSMEL JQ36 .2…6./ 606 spw
BKKMEL JQ30 .2.4..7 /909 spw
HKTSYD JQ28 ..3…. / 303 spw
HNLSYD JQ4 12.4.6. /1212 spw
KIXOOL JQ20 Daily /2121 spw
NRTCNS JQ26 1..4567/ 1515 spw
NRTCNS JQ26 .23…. /606 spw
NRTOOL JQ12 Daily /2121 spw
Total 20604 Seats per week
Total seats offered per week on Jetstar International flights to and from Australia =
52980
Seats offered
per day=
7568
Total seat offered for January 2010=
234625
Claimed numbers carried =
358,000
Claimed load factor=
78.5
Actual Pax numbers
if Load factor correct=
184500 approx.
Jetstar had a fleet of 34 A320's 6 A321's and 6 A330's in January. If the ENTIRE fleet was available for the month with no maintenance planned, it comes out at a little over
9000 seats available on J* aircraft each day.
If JQ actually did carry
358,000 pax at a load factor of
78.5% then actual seats required to be offered to achieve that =
Approx 450,000 seats per month or 14500 per day!
That equates to about 75% of the seats that would be available from the
entire fleet doing a typical two sector Intl day.
Keep in mind also that the claimed figures for JQ DOM in January were
746,000 pax for a combined monthly total of just over
1.1 million.
The JQ DOM Load Factor was 81.8%. To achieve 746,000 pax at a load factor of 82% requires approx 930,000 seats per month to be offered or
another 30,000 seats per day!
Is it possible to offer
44500 seats per day on a fleet that size, especially when over half your ASK's are on long haul and regional flights?
I am not having a dig at JQ staff here, and I hope someone will come along and poke a big hole in these figures. The only possible hole I see is that the preliminary figures do not include JQ NZ DOM figures.
Nor should they; they have nothing to do with passengers carried in and out of Australia.
QF domestic codeshares should also not raise the INTL figures due to the covering paragraph. I am not sure about the DOM figures, but considering most, if not all Qantas/JQ codeshare pax are travelling on a QF flight to catch a JQ Intl flight, then they shouldn't count as extras either.
So how can JQ Intl offer 234000 published seats in a month and claim to carry 358,000 passengers in that same month?
What about the DOM figures... how are they possible with the fleet size and the Intl commitment? I look forward to some interesting answers from ppruner's.