The redundancies are confirmed. Talk to AIPA if you dont believe me.
I believe the term AIPA used last time was "Imminent Redundancies" & that never happened.
Besides why would QF choose to have redundancies now? If they were going to, the best opportunity was last year when the industry was in a worser state of affairs.
1. The Domestic market is picking up.
2. QF has had the hand on the J* lever the last few years, with JB now at Virgin the company (QF) may need to switch gears.
3. The company hasn't activated the MOU for transfer QF to J* yet.
4. QF will avoid redundancies at all costs in an attempt to maintain it's experience base.
5. Polictically - It wouldn't go down well having redundancies in Mainline whilst recruiting at J*.
6. The Mainline EBA is up for negotiations this year.
7. The company doesn't have a timeframe as to when senior crews will elect to retire. As mentioned previously, an upswing in the share market & 100+ guys may walk with minimum notice.
MC