I really hope this does not kick off again.
On the other hand:
1. Maybe Argentina senses weakness in the UK, in a financial sense. Could we afford and are we financially ready to repel an advance?
2. We are plainly heavily committed elsewhere unlike 1982. How ready would the UK be to open another front?
3. There may be oil reserves. The revenue from these could save Argentina (or the UK for that matter) from the big money troubles ahead.
4. Although 'Air' would be helped by the new Airbase, the RN are weakened since the last conflict. Mind you the Arg. Navy is nothing special.
5. Rightly or wrongly the Argentinians continue to assert their claim to the islands. their point of view enjoys a degree of synpathy.
I suspect if the did start again, HMG would find itself in quite a difficult position.
My own judgement, however, is that the Argentinians will do nothing.
Hope so.
