PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - AF 447 Search to resume
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Old 18th Feb 2010, 19:41
  #260 (permalink)  
mm43
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
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Finn47
They sort of deserve to get lucky and find them things. Agreed?
Yes, they deserve to get lucky! Unfortunately luck will play a large part in the outcome. The BEA have clearly pointed out the ocean current data models didn't match the observed data, which isn't a very good basis from which to construct a search area.

The media reports indicated the proposed search area is now about 2,000km2, which doesn't match the area marked out in the BEA's presentation. My calculation shows the area within the red lines to be 887NM2 or 3042km2. A bit of a difference, but their task may well be to redefine the area in the coming weeks.

mm43
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