Probably as Close as We'll ever get to the Truth? Part
ONE- A little hard to follow
. Part
TWO - Quite close to the mark (IMHO)
Hi Shadow, Yes, there is a lot of good information in those links, but the author intimates that the resulting loss of control was in the overspeed direction. Frankly, I would expect an overspeed loss of control to end up in a pointy end down high speed water entry or an inflight breakup. It doesn't quite fit the observed data.
I like the Boeing article here
: http://www.boeing.com/commercial/aeromagazine/aero_08/erroneous_textonly.html and believe that some of the accidents involving loss of airspeed data reported at the end of the article in the block titled, "
ACCIDENT AND INCIDENT CASE STUDIES" are a better model for what happened to AF447 (IMHO).