I use the Met Office 'civvy forecast' a lot.
It amazes me how many times a forecast 2 or 3 days away can be plagues of frogs and bolts of lightning, yet by the time it is within 24 hours away, it is peace calm and fluffy clouds.
I have heard a lot of complaints from event organisers - both aviation and not, complaining that they have had overly pessimistic forecasts result in them cancelling events - very poor
I am now reverting to good old ATPL techniques and looking at the synoptic charts on the Met Office site and doing my own - it is usually better
Here is a prediction - later on Saturday and into Sunday, clearing weather to calmer, pleasant conditions over the south, spreading to the north.
Gulp