Dead right!
Without sounding too pessimistic, you would be better placed if one considered the worst.
We continue to forget that, "history repeats itself".
The Us Fed have got themselves into a situation, similar to the late 20's.
We are seeing and hearing of "green shoots", however it's the big picture that we've got to be wary of.
Proceed with caution and prepare for the unexpected.
Always have an alternate.
This at least keeps you in a positive frame of mind.