i think that you can tell from the relative calm from the LH FAAA newsletters that they are managing the situation with the COmpany and if there was the immediate chance of redundancy you would getting far more detailed newsletters and the immediate calling of meetings
As it is the newsletters are indicating that the leave burn process, the 75% rosters and the LWOP pay is doing the trick at this stage.
It is also clear that the EBA provides for last on first off, but that the FAAA is viewing ANY redundancy of onshore crew is to be avoided as a priority.
I am sure that they are also in discussion with the Company about the overseas bases as well, but it is unlikely that the nature of any "sensitive" discussions about where any potential job losses across the Qantas group might come from will be canvassed in newsletters
What the LH FAAA have been saying to members that call the office is apparently, that there is no need to start panicking about job security as they are working through a number of other options which would obviously include VR before any CR could be contemplated.
In fact the ACTU and all Qantas Unions will be meeting Alan Joyce directly to press for onshore job security