Originally Posted by fabbe92
So when is the absolute best time to start training in order to have a good chance of job after training, this year or in 3-4 years?
The point is that there is no 'absolute best' time to start. If anyone had absolutes about the future, they'd stand to make a large profit! As you may have noticed, we're currently in the midst of a global recession. As others have pointed out, no one truly knows the depth or time scale of the thing. All people have are (un)/educated guesses.
If you take the middle ground of predictions, you'd arrive at the conclusion that we're likely to be just about recovered by about the time the next Olympics rolls around, give or take. In that case, add another 18 months or so for the airlines to catch up and start hiring 'business as usual' style. You'll arrive at a date some time around 2013-2014. So then the question of when to start becomes 'how long do you intend to take to train?' You could start now and slowly eek it out until about then, or you could start in a couple of years and bang out the process a lot faster.
But the take home point is that
no one knows, all we have are best guesses based on economic and historic factors. I see you're 16; that's great news for you. You can do some post compulsory education schooling, then reassess the situation when you're 18. If in the meantime, you absolutely must be flying, well no one's stopping you from doing so recreationally. Whether you intend to fly for leisure or professionally, you'll still need that PPL. So why not start saving, and go ahead and get that done, and have some fun while you're at it. If the economy shows signs of recovery, you might then want to move it to the next level. Just stay well away from any debt, don't even think it's worth getting into when you have your whole life ahead of you!