I don't see the issue with regard to the "perfect storm" scenario regarding lack of AT in 2012. The solution to this, delay in A400M etc is simple...
Make all tours of the Stan 1 year (unaccompanied of course), or until relieved, and send everyone and everything out and back by ship (transit time not counting towards the 1 year of course) apart from the last portion of the journey. AT only required from the disembarktion port/country directly into theatre.....
By the way, I'm joking, but somebody else with this idea might not be......!!