i guess the extent of any planned reductions in flying will determine what happens with the number of crew required in each base. I think that the CNS base is quite safe although i think that there may be some opportunities for the FA category to transfer out of CNS and part of surplus management.
In terms of LH there is no planned recruitment at the moment to factor in the reduction in international flying. However A380's are still being delivered and that division will continue to grow. As part one LH crew cannot be compelled to go to A380 QCCA has announced that as A380s are delivered they will deploy part 2 crew to A380.
This will also assist in managing any apparent surplus in LH and at the same time provide ongoing job security to part 2 crew.
In terms of compulsory redudancy the LH EBA is clear its LAST ON FIRST OFF. No equivocation whatsoever. This would mean that the recently employed crew would be the first to go as has always been the case.
There is no susggestion at this stage that there will be a need for CR in Long Haul and Qantas is puting in place a range of initiatives to avoid CR at all costs.
This may not be the case in other areas of the flying business as there are no growth vehicles other than A380 at the moment. Even if the company decided to reduce MAM numbers these would be the first to be offered QCCA A380 positions as the new aircraft arrive