"So 14 months from now the airlines who may have a few vacancies to fill will have their pick from a large pool of experienced, current, jet/TP rated pilots. The point everyone in the industry is trying to make to those wishing to join it is you have no chance of even competing for an airline job if such a large pool of experience exists".
Do you know that for a fact though? I am not in the airline industry, not planning to train, so have no axe to grind, but I have heard first hand from a chief pilot that his employer would rather take newly qualified pilots than from 'pool of experienced pilots'. Don't know why that would be, apart from maybe the salary they pay, but that is what he told me.