PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Qantas Manila ATSB Preliminary report out
Old 1st Sep 2008, 04:34
  #36 (permalink)  
obira
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Home
Posts: 73
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Assumptions of Philthy and Kiwiguy

Figures 14, 15, 16 and 17 show damage in the ceiling ABOVE the R2 door which match the size and shape of oxygen cylinder #4.

Just because the hole is the same size and shape as the cylinder does not mean that the entire cylinder must have passed through the hole. You can make a pencil shaped hole in a piece of paper without the entire pencil passing through the hole.

You have made an assumption that the outward moving cargo would have formed a plug before the falling cylinders reached the fuselage hole. On what evidentiary basis have you determined the time frame for this to take place? Surely this would depend on the size of the articles closest to the rupture, the orientation of the articles with respect to each other and the rupture, together with the rigidity of the articles, to name but a few variables.

You have made an assumption that the point of failure is along the rivet line. What evidence do you have that the point of failure was not somewhere else in the skin?

Kiwiguy you are claiming the report to be politically motivated. This is an immense slur on the professionalism of every single investigator involved. By claiming that the report is politically motivated you are saying that the report is the result of a conspiracy amongst the investigators to cover up the true cause of the accident. To claim that those who dedicate themselves to finding the cause of accidents so as to prevent them from occurring again in the future would hide true findings in order to protect a company is ridiculous slander. Where was Ockham's razor when you came up with this theory?

You are making your assumptions on the basis of the 'high resolution' photos available over the internet. The investigators are examining the actual damage with their own eyes and instruments.

obira
obira is offline