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Old 10th Aug 2008, 18:53
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KAG
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: France
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Is that so simple?

the small regionals disappear
Maybe but... The regionals have a special weapon: turboprop. The Q400 for example that is really cost effective. They just have to buy it...

new combustible
Combustible definition: capable of burning.

Well I am afraid that there is no combustible left. To be simple combustible means oil.

A real change has to be done, and the humanity has to find an energy we can use for aviation... but which one?????

European cars will only be luxury cars such as BMW, Mercedes and Porsches...
yes and Renault (european) has the most important demand for ist new electric car available in 2010. So no only luxury cars in Europe...

America came back from those lows stronger than ever
Agreed! Thats not the first time America faces troubles, and America is still here. Same with Europe (2 nd world war someone?...)

But...

Asia is REALLY rising. Until up to what?? who knows.

And...

yes the world is changing, really quickly. For example it happened so fast that almost nobody noticed, but USA are not the first economy in the world anymore:

RankCountryGDP (PPP) $M
World64,903,2631
1 European Union14,712,3692
2 United States13,843,8253
3 People's Republic of China6,991,0361


Europe became the first one last year (europe was the first one already 60 years ago, it just taking back its position after having recovered from the 2 nd world war).

Its possible that in 8 years Europe is 1, China 2, Usa 3. So yes its moving really fast.

So the USA will remain in good shape sure, but will have to understand and take into account the world, as it will just become a part of it, and not necesseraly the leading one.
The same with the aviation, the most cost effective and important spatial activity is held by Arianespace, the European rocket wich send each week sattelite around the earth folowed by the russians, and the US. No space shuttle here no hero or holywood effect. But the most important and cost effective spacial activity in the world.
Airbus... who has heard about airbus 20 years ago? And now? maybe the first civilian aviation industry in the world (or maybe second??...).

Not the best airplane for a pilot, but the same cockpit for almost all the family.... interesting.

Aviation and the world is changing fast. Now we have an oil problem. Smart will be the one who will forsee and predict the future of aviation in the US.
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