Air Macau and Cathay being majority Chinese owned airlines now. There IS the chance that they will be allowed to fly cross strait flights in the next couple of years. Provided Air Macau lasts that long. Cathay should be fine, even with a severe reduction in its Taiwan-HK-China business??
Far Eastern Airlines of Taiwan didnt last long enough to enjoy Cross Straits flights going on now.
Since the Chinese govt owns a large part of NX and CX. If these airlines were suffering because of the direct Taiwan / China flights, its conceivable that the Chinese govt will ask the Taiwan side to allow NX and CX to participate in cross strait flights. And since CX and NX already have an established presence in Taiwan (especially CX) there is reason to believe that the TAiwan side will be willing to accomodate.
The US is also pressuring Taiwan to allow American airlines to continue on to China for US to Taiwan flights. I think this will be accomodated within five years.
Last edited by armchairpilot94116; 31st Jul 2008 at 18:30.