If you deleted all of the speculative and stupid contributions to this thread and only left the ones where experts have made a serious discussion of the likely events - you have the ATSB Report.
If you deleted all the moans from "experts" it would make easier reading.
I have been an expert in my field for several decades but am still open to ideas from others.
I have experienced the holes in the cheese situation which ensured that I always listened to non experts.