PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Israeli Air Force practices for Iranian strike
Old 21st Jun 2008, 22:48
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Squirrel 41
 
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900nm

Most interesting point is that if this exercise over Greece was something other than a big, long-range exercise, and was in fact some form of mission rehearsal, it is telling that all and sundry are talking about "900nm".

Whatever is 900nm from any Israeli AB (Tel Aviv to Bushehr has a great cricle of 974nm according to http://gc.kls2.com/cgi-bin/gc?PATH=o...avy&MAP-STYLE=)
the fact is that this requires overflghts of Jordan, Saudi, Iraq and possibly Kuwait.

Now how sensible would it be for any of these countries to allow this, or to look weak by being unable to stop it? None, I would suggest - esp. if it's the Israelis attacking a fellow Islamic (albeit not Arab), state.

Don't think that this is something that is going to happen anytime soon, and certainly no earlier than the Wednesday of the first full week in November (ie, the day after the US Presidential election).

And of course the fact that minus a Security Council Resolution or a imminent threat that fits the Caroline formula (necessity of self-defense, instant, overwhelming, leaving no choice of means and no moment for deliberation) - and no, we're not there yet - such an attack would be illegal aggression against Iran, should remain at the front of our minds.

S41
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