Just a thought....
If national ratings go, then surely the NPPL will be binned as well, being a "national thing". If so then many many pilots will suddenly have wasted their money and be grounded, some of whom cannot "convert" to EASA.
If the NPPL is NOT binned, then surely the CAA could in theory issue national ratings onto an NPPL, such as an "imc" rating could it not?
If the NPPL and IMC are binned, then we're going to see many flight schools put out of business over night, and many instructors unemployed over night. Flight training in the UK will drop dramatically and all the FAA US places will suddenly become very popular (there are ways into commercial aviation via the FAA which are far more attractive).
Looking at the amount of "FAA" topics on Pprune and Flyer at the moment, it appears that this handover to EASA may just do exactly what getting rid of duty free did to Europe.....make not one slightest bit of difference to "oversight" and in fact "worsen" the problem.
The "problem" is the Europe wants oversight. By getting rid of stuff like the NPPL and IMC, Europe are going to force people onto other authorities, like the FAA, and if Europe does recognise ICAO licences then it *may* mean that they effectively shoot themselves in the foot (as usual).
If the IMC is at risk, then so is the NPPL. If they are at risk, so is every permint operated aeroplane. If they are at risk, so is every microlight and glider.........
Still, my crystal ball is not working at the moment........