My opinion that it is a done deal is my own and not necessarily that of AOPA.
AOPA put forward papers to the EASA FCL Core Group regarding retaining the IMC Rating and introducing it into Europe, but did not get a very good reception. However, the current 'state of play' is that EASA is supposed to be putting out an RIA followed by the formation of a small specialised working group to look into the possible future of the IMC Rating in Europe. That is where we are at the moment as far as EASA is concerned.
We have one further FCL Core Group meeting this year at Cologne with EASA in December, so I might learn more then.
I know that Mike Dobson has been working on a delay in implementation to give countries such as UK time to handle their national licences: UK issued PPLs, CPLs etc of which there are many, not to mention our BCPL, an arrangement where an experienced FI holding a PPL could be issued with a Basic CPL and receive remuneration for giving flight instruction. (Another of Ron's Campbell's clever arrangements with the CAA!) Plus of course the IMC Rating. This has not produced fruit so far but is still being actively pursued.
I am not at liberty to post the actual documents to a faceless bulletin board however I can assure you that the representations have been extensive including a safety case for retaining the IMCR.
All of the corporate MEMBERS have been consulted via the corporate committee and direct communications.