EI-BUD - you're welcome!
To answer your predictions:
1. Don't know, is this a big issue?
2. Aer Arann have been living on borrowed time for years - I remember sitting in Thornton's in 2002 as some well-known figures in Irish aviation plotted their respose to its imminent demise - I was on the next table, they couldn't have known I was in the industry but just goes to show about loose lips and all that. Will they get wiped out in 2008 - dunno - but I would probably bet not
3. I predict 1 out of these 2 things will jhappen in 2008, the other in 2009 - I bet Jet2 to go first!
4. Fully agreed!
5. Again, this will happen - but in 2008? I'd say 50/50
6. Agreed, except bit about new base. I think BFS will be a bit of a headache, which may limit their expansionist ambitions
Overall an intereting and sensible set of predictions! Now if you could get a 6-horse accumulator, what odds would you get and how much would you put on?