PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - TAM A320 crash at Congonhas, Brazil
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Old 22nd Sep 2007, 19:52
  #2378 (permalink)  
PBL
 
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Originally Posted by Ghostflyer
You can cut it however you want but it had nothing to do with a dodgy runway, a dodgy reverser, a dodgy airbus or dodgy conditions but a lot to do with our colleagues making an unfortunate mistake.
I'm sorry, I have to contradict that definitively, once again.
As far as anyone has been able to calculate from the data, had the runway been 2.4 km long, that airplane would have stopped. (The most optimistic estimate has it stopped in just over 1900 m.)

That means, by the Counterfactual Test, that the length of the runway was a necessary causal factor in the accident.

And that indicates further, as the Brazilian polity has apparently recognised but some of our colleagues on this thread not yet, that dealing with the runway is an important prophylaxis against reoccurrence.

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