Wiley I think that the article you refer to (post #258) is “How good pilots make bad decisions: a model for understanding and teaching failure management to pilots“; this was last found at
http://www.spatiald.wpafb.af.mil/2003/ISAP_162.pdf, but this link appears to have closed.
However, just for you it is here; see
HOW_GOOD_PILOTS_MAKE_BAD_DECISIONS_ISAP_162.pdf. Also see ‘Errors_in_aviation_decision_making_Orasanu.pdf’
Aspects of these articles have been incorporated in the presentation
Managing the Threats and Errors during Approach and Landing - How to avoid a runway overrun (slide 17). Although this and the articles above were written with pilots in mind, the issues discussed apply equally to all levels of management. They, the decision makers, need to look out of the window more often, check the wind and the rain, the availability and state of the overrun area, the runway surface. They have to engage with the operation – note how far down the runway the aircraft are before they are really under control in the prevailing conditions.
Afterthought: pilots also have to answer the question “how far down the runway was the aircraft before it was really under control/stopping” – how many honest views, (self reflection) would result in an answer that gave a position which was consistent with landing within the factored distances? And where is that position on each runway?