I would argue that occasionally they get it right, as you put it. Most of the time they are just making money. I haven't read one single report of a student who was told categorically, preferably in writing, of the poor forecast before he signed the cheque. As experts they shouldn't be getting it wrong. My stockbroker never gets it wrong, or he goes out of business, he tells me in advance all of the risks and gives an accurate assessment of the liklihood of failure before I give him my money. He's an expert, experts don't get it wrong. Experts have knowledge and skill to make an assessment based on experience and qualifactions. That's what you pay for, not a wing and a prayer chance of a job sometime never.
When they get it wrong they are penalised, and I don't see that happening in aviation employment consultancy, which is the service CTC supply to pilots return for payment.
False promises is what I call it. Period.