My Money is Still on 17 Years
Hi
NC
I agree - a lot of crystal ball stuff. A couple of thoughts though - and I am not saying they illuminate the situation.
- For a while in the 80s/90s, three years to command looked like the norm............
- 120 Commands this year includes a fair chunk of feighter commands. Pax Commands are what matters.
- I agree that we are going to have to push 240 commands per year from time to time. Seems a heluva lot!
- Yes, airframe numbers are not the end - you need lots of bodies for ULR - but you do need some airframes and I do not see the orders. Check out page 10: http://downloads.cathaypacific.com/c...Results_EN.pdf
and don't forget to take into account returned aircraft.
As jtr says - where are the orders 
Milly