Would like to stimulate some discussion on what will happen if/when EU agrees to deal with US.
Carrier reaction ( my thoughts).......
AA - move DFW,RDU to LHR ...poss new routes to SFO,SEA,IAD or will they keep presence @ LGw...1 DFW ...RDU ?
DL - priority JFK ( need 3 or 4 to compete ) plus hometown ATL....maybe leave CVG and 1ATL; @ LGW .
CO - PRIORITY EWR ( again 3 or 4 /day ) plus IAH......will they keep 1 x EWR @ LGW plus seasonal Cle.
US - wud want to move whole OP to LHR ...would they add PHX to PHL/CLT.
NW - wud want whole op to LHR ....would they add SEA to MSP/DTT.
UA- LHR/DEN ? ( Think they-ve already tried BOS/MIA AND PULLED).
VS- LHR/LAS ?
BA- ATL/DFW/IAH ( already reported in press) wud they incr SEA frequency to protect or move BWI/DTT to LGW or pull to provide slots for others ?
BD Which routes make sense...JFK wud need 3-4/day ...which needs 3-4 a/c plus big revamp of their business product....LAS ?.....ORD..what will UA think abt that ? Will they pull MAN LHL to release the a/c...think they only started MAN as they had ordered a/c in anticipation of LHR opening up and it didn-t !!
Where will the slots come from in short-term ?
Skyteam....wud KL pull or move EIN/RTM to LCT to help DL/CO/NW ? Cant see AF/KL reducing AMS/CDG.
OneWorld....Cant see BA helping anyone other than themselves.....will they transfer to LGW...e.g. MRU ,BWI,DTW or reduce Domestic Freq further or move some very shorthaul to LCY or pull routes like STR or get GB slots to AGP/RAK/CMN or have they already bought BMED slots from BD ??
STAR...WILL BD help anyone other than themselves.....PMI/VCE/NAP/HAJ/INV/JER/MME/ABZ ??
Would LH help UA by say pulling CGN ??
Any other carriers willing to deal and move to LGW or LCY....AirJamaica, AIR Seychelles , Bangladesh Biman, PIA , LUXAIR , CZECH ??
A bit long but hope it stimulates some discussion
