I saw the remains of the 172 in the afternoon. Was the wind that bad at 11am local? At 1pm I went up doing my Taildragger endorsment and it was VRB at 5kts straight down 13. I don't remember it being gusty in the morning.
O, and it was the guys first or second solo flight. 13 at YMMB isn't used all that often and it's shorter by far than the typically used 17/35 combo. Maybe he floated a little more than he should have and paniced. ATSB will tell all in a few years (snipe).