Whoop out of the loop.
Your numbers are fairly accurate but your predictions are not. BALPA has the pilot workforce united on the issue. BA know this, and it is from the strong position BALPA holds that it has been able to get the management on the back foot.
That is why it is 'quiet' at the moment.
FYI I haven't met an APS member who won't strike. They are the most senior men and they are very angry at the way the management are behaving.