"Closer to the fruit harvesting areas!"
Like the Vale of Evesham?
Looking at routes to Poland from other parts of the UK, I think we're pretty underserved here - ok, FR do a few from Nema, but Sky Europe's 2x weekly to KRK from BHX hardly corners the market.
"Can an A320 operate fully loaded with 180 pax from Coventry to Poland, if it can under all weather conditions"
TOM's '500s have had their diverts too, so I presume it boils down to whether the percentage of diverts / load limits in any one year is deemed to be significant enough to put an airline off. I suppose it could also be a relative equation - so, to answer Olton Pete's point:
"I am surprised that FR have not moved the BHX Dublin flights to
Coventry and I hope that this is one of the possible two."
Runway IS an issue for FR at CVT, but perhaps less so on a short sector like DUB? Presumably less of an issue for an EI 737-500, but perhaps they've got other priorities right now beyond shaving a few grand off the costs of their ops into the Midlands?
So, final call for speculation then (announcement is due at 10)? I think that Poland has to be a big opportunity, but there is also a substantial Irish community in this part of the world too. Considering the Irish-American ownership of the airport, I'm sure they haven't overlooked this. Turboprops have to be less of a risk for any airline, and Wizz rumours seem stronger for other UK airports (esp MME?).
So I'll get that flame proof jacket on again and go for RE.
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Doh! Seamus, was typing this as you posted, so flame away!