2010 is still a fair amount of time for now. How does LH plan to win back the German cargo agents? All the big players go to CV/AF/LY/CX/SQ to move their 20T+ machines. They have no choice, but at least seem (in our case) pretty happy with what we do.
I can't remember when LH retired the last -200F, but its been a while. So lets say by 2010, something like 15-20 years out of the market (correct me if I'm wrong). That is a hell of a long time. Almost a generation of 74F experience lost; it will take time to regain a/experience b/trust from the people who pay.
Just my (biased
) 2c worth.