PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Global Warming - split from the A380 thread
Old 5th August 2006 | 19:27
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kansasw
 
Joined: Oct 2003
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From: chico
Originally Posted by aviate1138
So you believe the 'Hockey Stick' is accurate?
Aviate, I am a technician, not a scientist. I do not claim competence to judge the "hockey stick." I suspect it is a highly technical issue subject to competent judgement by scientists, and to revision as better information develops. That is the way science works.

I think the hockey stick is but one measure of the global warming issues we are discussing. If the hockey stick program is right it may support some structures of global warming, in particular anthropogenic ones. If the hockey stick program is wrong it does not add to the structures and may tend to negate some of them, but at best it is only one of the pieces of the puzzle.

Directly to your question, "So you believe the 'Hockey Stick' is accurate," to be honest I do not know. I hope the people with competence will sort it out, or maybe by some accounts they already have.

Do you have the expertise to judge accuracy of the hockey stick? I think you have stated that you are a layman in this arena, as am I.

Try my later post.....
http://www.opinionjournal.com/extra/?id=110008597
Aviate 1138[/QUOTE]

Thanks, I have read this twice. It appears to be commentary from a legitimat scientist (unlike your previous citation), an atmospheric scientist at MIT, so I have to take it seriously. It also appears to be laced with political/personal judgements and to contain little hard information, and is written for the Wall Street Journal which has its own well-known biases, so I have to wonder how much prejudice underlies the expression. I am not discounting what the guy says, but wondering how much weight to give it. Yes I have my own prejudices, and scientists are entitled to theirs too.

My kid will be entering the Woods Hole/MIT PhD program in oceanography this month. I'll try to let you know any gossip.
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