Originally Posted by Jumbo Driver
Secondly, if what you seem to be trying to argue were to be correct, then a 747 would be more likely to experience two engine failures on a flight than a twin jet would be to experience one. Are you really saying that?
Originally Posted by stagger
No I did not argue that.
I wrote that, all else being equal, a quad (that's flying on 3) is 50% more likely to experience 1 engine failure than a twin (on 2).
Stagger, I think you
are actually arguing what I said above.
The 747 will have started the sector on 4-engines (as around 99.99% of 747s do!).
So, if you are suggesting that, having already had
one engine failure (i.e. flying on 3 engines) it is then
still more likely to have a second failure than a twin on 2 engines (i.e. no failures - yet), then my suggestion above is indeed correct.