It ain't rocket science so perhaps Leo H.C can help us out.
1. MOL orderrs shed loads of a/c. Well known, well inadvance.
2. X number of a/c require Y numbers of crews. Simple arithmatic that has been done by numerous airlines for years, and proven.
3. Y numbers of crews require Z number of trainers, LTC's TRI's & TRE's, & ZZ number of sims slots, both for initial training and LPC/OPC's.
Why then are the foundations not built first before putting the walls up? If you load up the roof without the cement to hold up the walls, guess what! This undercrewing problem has been a phenomenon in late winter for a few years.
Is it not said that 1 mistake is bad luck, 2 times is careless, 3 times is incompetent, 4 times is ......... fired?
And is there any truth in the rumour that the recent net increase in crews is zero or even -ve? If so, what is the longterm solution? And if it is true, then perhaps this counters the argument put out by RYR that they have the best rosters, best paid pilots and most content workforce in Europe. In other words, they have greenest grass. So where are these folks off to? Pray tell and the rest of us will follow from our own mud patch.